The Hamburger Control, week by week
Nobody disputes this one. That is exactly why it is here.
Week 42, 2026, up close
Did each model agree with itself?
Every sample's answer, in the order it was taken, under each framing. A row of identical chips is a model that has made up its mind. Y is yes, N is no, ~ is a hedge.
| Model | Control | Asserted | Denied | Self-agreement |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 5 | 89% | |||
| Claude Sonnet 5 | 100% | |||
| Claude Haiku 4.5 | 100% | |||
| GPT-5.6 Sol | 100% | |||
| GPT-5.5 | 100% | |||
| GPT-5.4 mini | 100% | |||
| Grok 4.6 | 100% | |||
| Grok 4.3 | 100% | |||
| Grok 4.20 (non-reasoning) | 100% | |||
| Mistral Medium 3.5 | no data | no data | no data | — |
| Mistral Small 4 | no data | no data | no data | — |
| DeepSeek V4 Pro | 89% |
How much did latency swing?
The fastest and slowest call behind each median, asked plainly. A long bar is a model whose speed you cannot count on.
| Model | Range | Fastest | Median | Slowest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 5 | 1.5 s | 2 s | 2.8 s | |
| Claude Sonnet 5 | 887 ms | 889 ms | 939 ms | |
| Claude Haiku 4.5 | 465 ms | 465 ms | 482 ms | |
| GPT-5.6 Sol | 880 ms | 902 ms | 1.3 s | |
| GPT-5.5 | 1.1 s | 1.1 s | 1.7 s | |
| GPT-5.4 mini | 533 ms | 592 ms | 633 ms | |
| Grok 4.6 | 7.1 s | 8.4 s | 11 s | |
| Grok 4.3 | 10.6 s | 12.4 s | 15.4 s | |
| Grok 4.20 (non-reasoning) | 438 ms | 438 ms | 548 ms | |
| DeepSeek V4 Pro | 1.4 s | 1.6 s | 1.6 s |
Asked again the same week
Week 42, 2026 was run once. When a week is re-run, the earlier runs are kept and the answers that changed between them show up here.
Across editions
Week by week
Each model contributes one vote, based on its majority verdict across samples, so a model sampled three times does not outvote one sampled once.
Show the data
| Edition | Affirmative | Negative | Non-committal | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 36, 2026 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 12 |
| Week 37, 2026 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 10 |
| Week 38, 2026 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 10 |
| Week 39, 2026 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 10 |
| Week 40, 2026 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 10 |
| Week 42, 2026 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 10 |
- Affirmative
- Negative
- Non-committal
How easily each model changes its mind
Framing sensitivity per edition: the share of questions where telling the model the answer changed it. Editions that ran only the control leave a gap.
8% vs prior
Data
| Edition | Claude Opus 5 |
|---|---|
| Week 36, 2026 | 17% |
| Week 37, 2026 | 17% |
| Week 38, 2026 | 8% |
| Week 39, 2026 | 17% |
| Week 40, 2026 | 17% |
| Week 42, 2026 | 8% |
unchanged
Data
| Edition | Claude Sonnet 5 |
|---|---|
| Week 36, 2026 | 33% |
| Week 37, 2026 | 33% |
| Week 38, 2026 | 33% |
| Week 39, 2026 | 33% |
| Week 40, 2026 | 25% |
| Week 42, 2026 | 25% |
unchanged
Data
| Edition | Claude Haiku 4.5 |
|---|---|
| Week 36, 2026 | 25% |
| Week 37, 2026 | 25% |
| Week 38, 2026 | 25% |
| Week 39, 2026 | 17% |
| Week 40, 2026 | 25% |
| Week 42, 2026 | 25% |
unchanged
Data
| Edition | GPT-5.6 Sol |
|---|---|
| Week 36, 2026 | 50% |
| Week 37, 2026 | 50% |
| Week 38, 2026 | 50% |
| Week 39, 2026 | 50% |
| Week 40, 2026 | 50% |
| Week 42, 2026 | 50% |
unchanged
Data
| Edition | GPT-5.5 |
|---|---|
| Week 36, 2026 | 50% |
| Week 37, 2026 | 50% |
| Week 38, 2026 | 50% |
| Week 39, 2026 | 50% |
| Week 40, 2026 | 50% |
| Week 42, 2026 | 50% |
unchanged
Data
| Edition | GPT-5.4 mini |
|---|---|
| Week 36, 2026 | 50% |
| Week 37, 2026 | 50% |
| Week 38, 2026 | 50% |
| Week 39, 2026 | 50% |
| Week 40, 2026 | 50% |
| Week 42, 2026 | 50% |
unchanged
Data
| Edition | Grok 4.6 |
|---|---|
| Week 36, 2026 | 17% |
| Week 37, 2026 | 8% |
| Week 38, 2026 | 8% |
| Week 39, 2026 | 8% |
| Week 40, 2026 | 8% |
| Week 42, 2026 | 8% |
unchanged
Data
| Edition | Grok 4.3 |
|---|---|
| Week 36, 2026 | 17% |
| Week 37, 2026 | 8% |
| Week 38, 2026 | 17% |
| Week 39, 2026 | 17% |
| Week 40, 2026 | 17% |
| Week 42, 2026 | 17% |
17% vs prior
Data
| Edition | Grok 4.20 (non-reasoning) |
|---|---|
| Week 36, 2026 | 33% |
| Week 37, 2026 | 50% |
| Week 38, 2026 | 50% |
| Week 39, 2026 | 55% |
| Week 40, 2026 | 50% |
| Week 42, 2026 | 33% |
unchanged
Data
| Edition | Mistral Medium 3.5 |
|---|---|
| Week 36, 2026 | 50% |
| Week 37, 2026 | — |
| Week 38, 2026 | — |
| Week 39, 2026 | — |
| Week 40, 2026 | — |
| Week 42, 2026 | — |
unchanged
Data
| Edition | Mistral Small 4 |
|---|---|
| Week 36, 2026 | 50% |
| Week 37, 2026 | — |
| Week 38, 2026 | — |
| Week 39, 2026 | — |
| Week 40, 2026 | — |
| Week 42, 2026 | — |
unchanged
Data
| Edition | DeepSeek V4 Pro |
|---|---|
| Week 36, 2026 | 17% |
| Week 37, 2026 | 17% |
| Week 38, 2026 | 17% |
| Week 39, 2026 | 25% |
| Week 40, 2026 | 17% |
| Week 42, 2026 | 17% |
Median latency by model
802 ms vs prior
Data
| Edition | Claude Opus 5 |
|---|---|
| Week 36, 2026 | 2.3 s |
| Week 37, 2026 | 2.4 s |
| Week 38, 2026 | 2.3 s |
| Week 39, 2026 | 2.5 s |
| Week 40, 2026 | 2.8 s |
| Week 42, 2026 | 2 s |
274 ms vs prior
Data
| Edition | Claude Sonnet 5 |
|---|---|
| Week 36, 2026 | 1.1 s |
| Week 37, 2026 | 1.3 s |
| Week 38, 2026 | 1.2 s |
| Week 39, 2026 | 1.1 s |
| Week 40, 2026 | 1.2 s |
| Week 42, 2026 | 889 ms |
16 ms vs prior
Data
| Edition | Claude Haiku 4.5 |
|---|---|
| Week 36, 2026 | 624 ms |
| Week 37, 2026 | 620 ms |
| Week 38, 2026 | 595 ms |
| Week 39, 2026 | 472 ms |
| Week 40, 2026 | 449 ms |
| Week 42, 2026 | 465 ms |
314 ms vs prior
Data
| Edition | GPT-5.6 Sol |
|---|---|
| Week 36, 2026 | 1.4 s |
| Week 37, 2026 | 997 ms |
| Week 38, 2026 | 1.4 s |
| Week 39, 2026 | 2 s |
| Week 40, 2026 | 1.2 s |
| Week 42, 2026 | 902 ms |
276 ms vs prior
Data
| Edition | GPT-5.5 |
|---|---|
| Week 36, 2026 | 1.2 s |
| Week 37, 2026 | 1.7 s |
| Week 38, 2026 | 1.2 s |
| Week 39, 2026 | 1.5 s |
| Week 40, 2026 | 1.4 s |
| Week 42, 2026 | 1.1 s |
77 ms vs prior
Data
| Edition | GPT-5.4 mini |
|---|---|
| Week 36, 2026 | 697 ms |
| Week 37, 2026 | 1.1 s |
| Week 38, 2026 | 845 ms |
| Week 39, 2026 | 649 ms |
| Week 40, 2026 | 669 ms |
| Week 42, 2026 | 592 ms |
3 s vs prior
Data
| Edition | Grok 4.6 |
|---|---|
| Week 36, 2026 | 4.9 s |
| Week 37, 2026 | 7.5 s |
| Week 38, 2026 | 7.4 s |
| Week 39, 2026 | 7.1 s |
| Week 40, 2026 | 5.4 s |
| Week 42, 2026 | 8.4 s |
9 s vs prior
Data
| Edition | Grok 4.3 |
|---|---|
| Week 36, 2026 | 3.6 s |
| Week 37, 2026 | 3.2 s |
| Week 38, 2026 | 2.8 s |
| Week 39, 2026 | 2.7 s |
| Week 40, 2026 | 3.4 s |
| Week 42, 2026 | 12.4 s |
29 ms vs prior
Data
| Edition | Grok 4.20 (non-reasoning) |
|---|---|
| Week 36, 2026 | 465 ms |
| Week 37, 2026 | 562 ms |
| Week 38, 2026 | 452 ms |
| Week 39, 2026 | 498 ms |
| Week 40, 2026 | 467 ms |
| Week 42, 2026 | 438 ms |
unchanged
Data
| Edition | Mistral Medium 3.5 |
|---|---|
| Week 36, 2026 | 394 ms |
| Week 37, 2026 | — |
| Week 38, 2026 | — |
| Week 39, 2026 | — |
| Week 40, 2026 | — |
| Week 42, 2026 | — |
unchanged
Data
| Edition | Mistral Small 4 |
|---|---|
| Week 36, 2026 | 361 ms |
| Week 37, 2026 | — |
| Week 38, 2026 | — |
| Week 39, 2026 | — |
| Week 40, 2026 | — |
| Week 42, 2026 | — |
389 ms vs prior
Data
| Edition | DeepSeek V4 Pro |
|---|---|
| Week 36, 2026 | 2.4 s |
| Week 37, 2026 | 2.5 s |
| Week 38, 2026 | 1.7 s |
| Week 39, 2026 | 2.4 s |
| Week 40, 2026 | 2 s |
| Week 42, 2026 | 1.6 s |
Median output tokens by model
38 vs prior
Data
| Edition | Claude Opus 5 |
|---|---|
| Week 36, 2026 | 80 |
| Week 37, 2026 | 107 |
| Week 38, 2026 | 88 |
| Week 39, 2026 | 58 |
| Week 40, 2026 | 94 |
| Week 42, 2026 | 132 |
unchanged
Data
| Edition | Claude Sonnet 5 |
|---|---|
| Week 36, 2026 | 6 |
| Week 37, 2026 | 5 |
| Week 38, 2026 | 7 |
| Week 39, 2026 | 6 |
| Week 40, 2026 | 5 |
| Week 42, 2026 | 5 |
unchanged
Data
| Edition | Claude Haiku 4.5 |
|---|---|
| Week 36, 2026 | 5 |
| Week 37, 2026 | 5 |
| Week 38, 2026 | 5 |
| Week 39, 2026 | 5 |
| Week 40, 2026 | 5 |
| Week 42, 2026 | 5 |
unchanged
Data
| Edition | GPT-5.6 Sol |
|---|---|
| Week 36, 2026 | 6 |
| Week 37, 2026 | 6 |
| Week 38, 2026 | 6 |
| Week 39, 2026 | 6 |
| Week 40, 2026 | 6 |
| Week 42, 2026 | 6 |
3 vs prior
Data
| Edition | GPT-5.5 |
|---|---|
| Week 36, 2026 | 27 |
| Week 37, 2026 | 22 |
| Week 38, 2026 | 25 |
| Week 39, 2026 | 29 |
| Week 40, 2026 | 25 |
| Week 42, 2026 | 22 |
unchanged
Data
| Edition | GPT-5.4 mini |
|---|---|
| Week 36, 2026 | 5 |
| Week 37, 2026 | 5 |
| Week 38, 2026 | 5 |
| Week 39, 2026 | 5 |
| Week 40, 2026 | 5 |
| Week 42, 2026 | 5 |
unchanged
Data
| Edition | Grok 4.6 |
|---|---|
| Week 36, 2026 | 1 |
| Week 37, 2026 | 1 |
| Week 38, 2026 | 1 |
| Week 39, 2026 | 1 |
| Week 40, 2026 | 1 |
| Week 42, 2026 | 1 |
unchanged
Data
| Edition | Grok 4.3 |
|---|---|
| Week 36, 2026 | 1 |
| Week 37, 2026 | 1 |
| Week 38, 2026 | 1 |
| Week 39, 2026 | 1 |
| Week 40, 2026 | 1 |
| Week 42, 2026 | 1 |
1 vs prior
Data
| Edition | Grok 4.20 (non-reasoning) |
|---|---|
| Week 36, 2026 | 2 |
| Week 37, 2026 | 2 |
| Week 38, 2026 | 2 |
| Week 39, 2026 | 2 |
| Week 40, 2026 | 2 |
| Week 42, 2026 | 1 |
unchanged
Data
| Edition | Mistral Medium 3.5 |
|---|---|
| Week 36, 2026 | 3 |
| Week 37, 2026 | — |
| Week 38, 2026 | — |
| Week 39, 2026 | — |
| Week 40, 2026 | — |
| Week 42, 2026 | — |
unchanged
Data
| Edition | Mistral Small 4 |
|---|---|
| Week 36, 2026 | 3 |
| Week 37, 2026 | — |
| Week 38, 2026 | — |
| Week 39, 2026 | — |
| Week 40, 2026 | — |
| Week 42, 2026 | — |
11 vs prior
Data
| Edition | DeepSeek V4 Pro |
|---|---|
| Week 36, 2026 | 69 |
| Week 37, 2026 | 87 |
| Week 38, 2026 | 84 |
| Week 39, 2026 | 86 |
| Week 40, 2026 | 79 |
| Week 42, 2026 | 68 |
Position changes
No model has changed its answer on a hamburger between consecutive editions.