The Grilled Cheese Case, week by week
Two slices, one filling, a pan. If this is not a sandwich nothing is.
Week 42, 2026, up close
Did each model agree with itself?
Every sample's answer, in the order it was taken, under each framing. A row of identical chips is a model that has made up its mind. Y is yes, N is no, ~ is a hedge.
| Model | Control | Asserted | Denied | Self-agreement |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 5 | 100% | |||
| Claude Sonnet 5 | 89% | |||
| Claude Haiku 4.5 | 100% | |||
| GPT-5.6 Sol | 100% | |||
| GPT-5.5 | 100% | |||
| GPT-5.4 mini | 100% | |||
| Grok 4.6 | 100% | |||
| Grok 4.3 | 100% | |||
| Grok 4.20 (non-reasoning) | 89% | |||
| Mistral Medium 3.5 | no data | no data | no data | — |
| Mistral Small 4 | no data | no data | no data | — |
| DeepSeek V4 Pro | 100% |
How much did latency swing?
The fastest and slowest call behind each median, asked plainly. A long bar is a model whose speed you cannot count on.
| Model | Range | Fastest | Median | Slowest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 5 | 770 ms | 865 ms | 958 ms | |
| Claude Sonnet 5 | 935 ms | 974 ms | 974 ms | |
| Claude Haiku 4.5 | 561 ms | 592 ms | 597 ms | |
| GPT-5.6 Sol | 920 ms | 950 ms | 959 ms | |
| GPT-5.5 | 971 ms | 1.1 s | 1.1 s | |
| GPT-5.4 mini | 756 ms | 1 s | 2 s | |
| Grok 4.6 | 4.1 s | 4.5 s | 5.1 s | |
| Grok 4.3 | 8.9 s | 10.1 s | 11.3 s | |
| Grok 4.20 (non-reasoning) | 420 ms | 433 ms | 437 ms | |
| DeepSeek V4 Pro | 1.1 s | 1.5 s | 1.6 s |
Asked again the same week
Week 42, 2026 was run once. When a week is re-run, the earlier runs are kept and the answers that changed between them show up here.
Across editions
Week by week
Each model contributes one vote, based on its majority verdict across samples, so a model sampled three times does not outvote one sampled once.
Show the data
| Edition | Affirmative | Negative | Non-committal | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 36, 2026 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 12 |
| Week 37, 2026 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 10 |
| Week 38, 2026 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 10 |
| Week 39, 2026 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 10 |
| Week 40, 2026 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 10 |
| Week 42, 2026 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 10 |
- Affirmative
- Negative
- Non-committal
How easily each model changes its mind
Framing sensitivity per edition: the share of questions where telling the model the answer changed it. Editions that ran only the control leave a gap.
8% vs prior
Data
| Edition | Claude Opus 5 |
|---|---|
| Week 36, 2026 | 17% |
| Week 37, 2026 | 17% |
| Week 38, 2026 | 8% |
| Week 39, 2026 | 17% |
| Week 40, 2026 | 17% |
| Week 42, 2026 | 8% |
unchanged
Data
| Edition | Claude Sonnet 5 |
|---|---|
| Week 36, 2026 | 33% |
| Week 37, 2026 | 33% |
| Week 38, 2026 | 33% |
| Week 39, 2026 | 33% |
| Week 40, 2026 | 25% |
| Week 42, 2026 | 25% |
unchanged
Data
| Edition | Claude Haiku 4.5 |
|---|---|
| Week 36, 2026 | 25% |
| Week 37, 2026 | 25% |
| Week 38, 2026 | 25% |
| Week 39, 2026 | 17% |
| Week 40, 2026 | 25% |
| Week 42, 2026 | 25% |
unchanged
Data
| Edition | GPT-5.6 Sol |
|---|---|
| Week 36, 2026 | 50% |
| Week 37, 2026 | 50% |
| Week 38, 2026 | 50% |
| Week 39, 2026 | 50% |
| Week 40, 2026 | 50% |
| Week 42, 2026 | 50% |
unchanged
Data
| Edition | GPT-5.5 |
|---|---|
| Week 36, 2026 | 50% |
| Week 37, 2026 | 50% |
| Week 38, 2026 | 50% |
| Week 39, 2026 | 50% |
| Week 40, 2026 | 50% |
| Week 42, 2026 | 50% |
unchanged
Data
| Edition | GPT-5.4 mini |
|---|---|
| Week 36, 2026 | 50% |
| Week 37, 2026 | 50% |
| Week 38, 2026 | 50% |
| Week 39, 2026 | 50% |
| Week 40, 2026 | 50% |
| Week 42, 2026 | 50% |
unchanged
Data
| Edition | Grok 4.6 |
|---|---|
| Week 36, 2026 | 17% |
| Week 37, 2026 | 8% |
| Week 38, 2026 | 8% |
| Week 39, 2026 | 8% |
| Week 40, 2026 | 8% |
| Week 42, 2026 | 8% |
unchanged
Data
| Edition | Grok 4.3 |
|---|---|
| Week 36, 2026 | 17% |
| Week 37, 2026 | 8% |
| Week 38, 2026 | 17% |
| Week 39, 2026 | 17% |
| Week 40, 2026 | 17% |
| Week 42, 2026 | 17% |
17% vs prior
Data
| Edition | Grok 4.20 (non-reasoning) |
|---|---|
| Week 36, 2026 | 33% |
| Week 37, 2026 | 50% |
| Week 38, 2026 | 50% |
| Week 39, 2026 | 55% |
| Week 40, 2026 | 50% |
| Week 42, 2026 | 33% |
unchanged
Data
| Edition | Mistral Medium 3.5 |
|---|---|
| Week 36, 2026 | 50% |
| Week 37, 2026 | — |
| Week 38, 2026 | — |
| Week 39, 2026 | — |
| Week 40, 2026 | — |
| Week 42, 2026 | — |
unchanged
Data
| Edition | Mistral Small 4 |
|---|---|
| Week 36, 2026 | 50% |
| Week 37, 2026 | — |
| Week 38, 2026 | — |
| Week 39, 2026 | — |
| Week 40, 2026 | — |
| Week 42, 2026 | — |
unchanged
Data
| Edition | DeepSeek V4 Pro |
|---|---|
| Week 36, 2026 | 17% |
| Week 37, 2026 | 17% |
| Week 38, 2026 | 17% |
| Week 39, 2026 | 25% |
| Week 40, 2026 | 17% |
| Week 42, 2026 | 17% |
Median latency by model
1 s vs prior
Data
| Edition | Claude Opus 5 |
|---|---|
| Week 36, 2026 | 1.5 s |
| Week 37, 2026 | 2.1 s |
| Week 38, 2026 | 2 s |
| Week 39, 2026 | 1.6 s |
| Week 40, 2026 | 1.9 s |
| Week 42, 2026 | 865 ms |
374 ms vs prior
Data
| Edition | Claude Sonnet 5 |
|---|---|
| Week 36, 2026 | 1.1 s |
| Week 37, 2026 | 1.4 s |
| Week 38, 2026 | 1.1 s |
| Week 39, 2026 | 1.6 s |
| Week 40, 2026 | 1.3 s |
| Week 42, 2026 | 974 ms |
58 ms vs prior
Data
| Edition | Claude Haiku 4.5 |
|---|---|
| Week 36, 2026 | 633 ms |
| Week 37, 2026 | 634 ms |
| Week 38, 2026 | 564 ms |
| Week 39, 2026 | 542 ms |
| Week 40, 2026 | 533 ms |
| Week 42, 2026 | 592 ms |
637 ms vs prior
Data
| Edition | GPT-5.6 Sol |
|---|---|
| Week 36, 2026 | 988 ms |
| Week 37, 2026 | 1 s |
| Week 38, 2026 | 1.2 s |
| Week 39, 2026 | 1.7 s |
| Week 40, 2026 | 1.6 s |
| Week 42, 2026 | 950 ms |
43 ms vs prior
Data
| Edition | GPT-5.5 |
|---|---|
| Week 36, 2026 | 1.4 s |
| Week 37, 2026 | 1.2 s |
| Week 38, 2026 | 1.4 s |
| Week 39, 2026 | 1.8 s |
| Week 40, 2026 | 1.1 s |
| Week 42, 2026 | 1.1 s |
131 ms vs prior
Data
| Edition | GPT-5.4 mini |
|---|---|
| Week 36, 2026 | 1.3 s |
| Week 37, 2026 | 814 ms |
| Week 38, 2026 | 933 ms |
| Week 39, 2026 | 886 ms |
| Week 40, 2026 | 1.1 s |
| Week 42, 2026 | 1 s |
619 ms vs prior
Data
| Edition | Grok 4.6 |
|---|---|
| Week 36, 2026 | 3.2 s |
| Week 37, 2026 | 4.4 s |
| Week 38, 2026 | 5 s |
| Week 39, 2026 | 5.3 s |
| Week 40, 2026 | 3.9 s |
| Week 42, 2026 | 4.5 s |
7.6 s vs prior
Data
| Edition | Grok 4.3 |
|---|---|
| Week 36, 2026 | 2.9 s |
| Week 37, 2026 | 2.4 s |
| Week 38, 2026 | 2.2 s |
| Week 39, 2026 | 2.2 s |
| Week 40, 2026 | 2.5 s |
| Week 42, 2026 | 10.1 s |
40 ms vs prior
Data
| Edition | Grok 4.20 (non-reasoning) |
|---|---|
| Week 36, 2026 | 395 ms |
| Week 37, 2026 | 446 ms |
| Week 38, 2026 | 455 ms |
| Week 39, 2026 | 461 ms |
| Week 40, 2026 | 473 ms |
| Week 42, 2026 | 433 ms |
unchanged
Data
| Edition | Mistral Medium 3.5 |
|---|---|
| Week 36, 2026 | 2.4 s |
| Week 37, 2026 | — |
| Week 38, 2026 | — |
| Week 39, 2026 | — |
| Week 40, 2026 | — |
| Week 42, 2026 | — |
unchanged
Data
| Edition | Mistral Small 4 |
|---|---|
| Week 36, 2026 | 359 ms |
| Week 37, 2026 | — |
| Week 38, 2026 | — |
| Week 39, 2026 | — |
| Week 40, 2026 | — |
| Week 42, 2026 | — |
219 ms vs prior
Data
| Edition | DeepSeek V4 Pro |
|---|---|
| Week 36, 2026 | 1.5 s |
| Week 37, 2026 | 1.8 s |
| Week 38, 2026 | 1.5 s |
| Week 39, 2026 | 1.4 s |
| Week 40, 2026 | 1.3 s |
| Week 42, 2026 | 1.5 s |
Median output tokens by model
unchanged
Data
| Edition | Claude Opus 5 |
|---|---|
| Week 36, 2026 | 19 |
| Week 37, 2026 | 28 |
| Week 38, 2026 | 34 |
| Week 39, 2026 | 25 |
| Week 40, 2026 | 23 |
| Week 42, 2026 | 23 |
1 vs prior
Data
| Edition | Claude Sonnet 5 |
|---|---|
| Week 36, 2026 | 5 |
| Week 37, 2026 | 5 |
| Week 38, 2026 | 6 |
| Week 39, 2026 | 6 |
| Week 40, 2026 | 5 |
| Week 42, 2026 | 6 |
unchanged
Data
| Edition | Claude Haiku 4.5 |
|---|---|
| Week 36, 2026 | 5 |
| Week 37, 2026 | 5 |
| Week 38, 2026 | 5 |
| Week 39, 2026 | 5 |
| Week 40, 2026 | 5 |
| Week 42, 2026 | 5 |
unchanged
Data
| Edition | GPT-5.6 Sol |
|---|---|
| Week 36, 2026 | 6 |
| Week 37, 2026 | 6 |
| Week 38, 2026 | 6 |
| Week 39, 2026 | 6 |
| Week 40, 2026 | 6 |
| Week 42, 2026 | 6 |
unchanged
Data
| Edition | GPT-5.5 |
|---|---|
| Week 36, 2026 | 20 |
| Week 37, 2026 | 20 |
| Week 38, 2026 | 19 |
| Week 39, 2026 | 19 |
| Week 40, 2026 | 20 |
| Week 42, 2026 | 20 |
unchanged
Data
| Edition | GPT-5.4 mini |
|---|---|
| Week 36, 2026 | 5 |
| Week 37, 2026 | 5 |
| Week 38, 2026 | 5 |
| Week 39, 2026 | 5 |
| Week 40, 2026 | 5 |
| Week 42, 2026 | 5 |
unchanged
Data
| Edition | Grok 4.6 |
|---|---|
| Week 36, 2026 | 1 |
| Week 37, 2026 | 1 |
| Week 38, 2026 | 1 |
| Week 39, 2026 | 1 |
| Week 40, 2026 | 1 |
| Week 42, 2026 | 1 |
unchanged
Data
| Edition | Grok 4.3 |
|---|---|
| Week 36, 2026 | 1 |
| Week 37, 2026 | 1 |
| Week 38, 2026 | 1 |
| Week 39, 2026 | 1 |
| Week 40, 2026 | 1 |
| Week 42, 2026 | 1 |
unchanged
Data
| Edition | Grok 4.20 (non-reasoning) |
|---|---|
| Week 36, 2026 | 1 |
| Week 37, 2026 | 1 |
| Week 38, 2026 | 1 |
| Week 39, 2026 | 1 |
| Week 40, 2026 | 1 |
| Week 42, 2026 | 1 |
unchanged
Data
| Edition | Mistral Medium 3.5 |
|---|---|
| Week 36, 2026 | 3 |
| Week 37, 2026 | — |
| Week 38, 2026 | — |
| Week 39, 2026 | — |
| Week 40, 2026 | — |
| Week 42, 2026 | — |
unchanged
Data
| Edition | Mistral Small 4 |
|---|---|
| Week 36, 2026 | 3 |
| Week 37, 2026 | — |
| Week 38, 2026 | — |
| Week 39, 2026 | — |
| Week 40, 2026 | — |
| Week 42, 2026 | — |
7 vs prior
Data
| Edition | DeepSeek V4 Pro |
|---|---|
| Week 36, 2026 | 33 |
| Week 37, 2026 | 35 |
| Week 38, 2026 | 46 |
| Week 39, 2026 | 44 |
| Week 40, 2026 | 46 |
| Week 42, 2026 | 39 |
Position changes
No model has changed its answer on a grilled cheese between consecutive editions.